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Anthropic is AI trade's last big hope for a major IPO this year

Monday 19 October16:25 · 3h agoAI summary
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Anthropic, the AI startup, is now seen as the only major company likely to announce an IPO in 2026 after OpenAI and others postponed their public market debuts.

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01Summary

  1. 01On prediction market Kalshi, Anthropic has a 75% chance of officially announcing an IPO in 2026, the highest among 23 listed companies.
  2. 02OpenAI ruled out a 2026 IPO last month, with traders giving it just a 3% chance this year, after CEO Sam Altman cited AI safety concerns.
  3. 03Plaid, Deel, and Databricks all saw their IPO odds fall sharply, from over 50% earlier in the year to single digits by June.
  4. 04Anthropic's Q3 revenue was $16.8 billion, but quarter-over-quarter growth slowed, prompting analyst questions about valuation.
  5. 05The number of US IPOs priced in 2026 is down 33% compared to 2025, despite a rise in total proceeds driven by large debuts like SpaceX.

02Why it matters

The IPO market is a key source of new investment opportunities; the delays suggest uncertainty in tech valuations and may affect broader market sentiment.

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Answers are generated by AI from the story summary; they are not investment, health or legal advice.

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