Kalshi prediction-market odds for Marine Le Pen winning the French presidency in 2027 have risen to 53% as nationwide protests over living costs and public services continue.
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01Summary
- 01Protests that began in September over school conditions and teacher shortages have spread to national outrage over living costs and public services, with over 500,000 people demonstrating nationwide over the weekend.
- 02Kalshi odds for far-right candidate Marine Le Pen winning the 2027 presidential election increased from 39% to 53% in the past month.
- 03Odds for David Lisnard, mayor of Cannes, dropped from 44.7% on September 26 to 11% by Tuesday afternoon.
- 04Over 2,000 arrests and nearly 1,000 police officers and gendarmes were injured during the unrest, according to the French ministry.
- 05The CAC 40 index fell 2.8% in the last month and nearly 6% in the last six months, while the 10-year government bond yield rose above 4.9%.
02Why it matters
This matters because rising political instability in France could affect European markets and investor confidence, given France's role in the EU economy.
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