SportsLine's model simulates ALCS Game 4 between Cleveland and Tampa Bay 10,000 times, predicting the Over on 6.5 total runs and giving a money-line pick after the game was postponed due to rain.
01Summary
- 01The Cleveland Guardians lead the Tampa Bay Rays 2-1 in the 2026 ALCS after a 3-2 win on Thursday.
- 02Game 4 was postponed from Friday to Saturday due to rain; first pitch is 8 p.m. ET at Progressive Field.
- 03Tampa Bay is a -114 favourite on the money line; the over/under is 6.5 runs.
- 04The model picks the Over 6.5 runs, projecting eight combined runs in 64% of simulations.
- 05Shawn Armstrong opens for Cleveland; Nick Martinez is the probable starter for Tampa Bay.
02Why it matters
This matters to baseball bettors and fans following the ALCS, as the model's track record on money-line picks has returned over $900 for $100 players in the playoffs.
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