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Social Security benefits could be cut 22% in 2032—and one fix would mean a 40% payroll tax hike for millennials and Gen Z

Tuesday 20 October17:59 · 5h agoAI summary
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The Social Security trust fund is set to be depleted in 2032, triggering automatic benefit cuts of up to 22% unless lawmakers act. One fix would require a 40% increase in payroll taxes for younger workers.

01Summary

  1. 01The Social Security Administration announced a 3.6% cost-of-living adjustment for 2027, raising the average retirement benefit by about £75 a month to an estimated £2,170.
  2. 02The Old-Age and Survivors Insurance Trust Fund is projected to run out of reserves in the fourth quarter of 2032, after which incoming revenue would cover only 78% of scheduled benefits.
  3. 03An analysis by Advancing American Freedom estimates that maintaining scheduled benefits through higher payroll taxes alone would require a combined rate of 17.3% by 2034, a 40% increase from the current 12.4%.
  4. 04Social Security faces a £29.3 trillion long-term funding shortfall, equivalent to about £215,000 per household, according to the same group.
  5. 05The taxable maximum for payroll tax will rise to £192,300 in 2027, up from £184,500 in 2026.

02Why it matters

Millions of current and future retirees face automatic benefit cuts within a decade if Congress does not act, while younger workers could see large payroll tax increases to keep the system solvent.

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