A new Reuters/Ipsos poll shows Trump's approval rating at a record low of 31%, with Democrats leading by 12 points ahead of the November midterms.
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01Summary
- 01Trump's approval rating fell to 31%, the lowest of his two terms, according to a Reuters/Ipsos poll published on 20 October 2026.
- 0247% of those polled said they would vote for Democrats, against 35% for Republicans, a 12-point gap up from seven points two weeks ago.
- 03Democrats currently lead Republicans on economic management, 40% to 33%, driven partly by women voters.
- 04Republicans hold slim majorities of 218-214 in the House and 53-47 in the Senate, both at risk in the 3 November elections.
- 05Historical data shows that when a president's approval rating is below 50%, the governing party tends to lose seats in midterms.
02Why it matters
The midterm elections will determine control of Congress, affecting Trump's ability to advance his agenda amid the unpopular US-Israel war on Iran and rising living costs.
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